UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty and fluidity, we discuss how investors should position, along with a review of key catalysts and risks. Plus, key takeaways from the ongoing China Two Sessions. Featured are Xingchen Yu, Emerging Markets Strategist Americas, and Laura Smith, Investment Specialist, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Join Ted Galgano and Jeannine Lennon, Senior Municipal Strategists from the UBS Chief Investment Office, for an update on California’s credit fundamentals and an outlook for its municipal issuers.

US Treasury Secretary Bessent signaled US importers could expect to pay a 15% tariff. US President Trump had mentioned this, but endorsement by an administration official adds credibility. The effect is not necessarily to raise inflation but—because tariff composition differs from the illegal IEEPA tariffs—could keep inflation rates higher for longer. Tariff reductions are not passed on to consumers the way tariff increases are.

We examine what’s happening across emerging markets, and review the external and domestic drivers that are supporting the asset class. Plus, an assessment of key investment risks to be mindful of. Featured is Alejo Czerwonko, CIO for Emerging Markets Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

US President Trump said that the US International Development Finance Corporation will offer to insure tankers in the Gulf, and the US Navy will escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible. It is not clear how the former would operate, or how soon the later would happen. Markets seem unenthusiastic about this, with oil prices higher and Asian equities lower. Trump seems politically sensitive to oil prices in the context of the US affordability crisis—gasoline prices disproportionately impact inflation perceptions. Trump’s sensitivity might be important in judging the length of the war.