Eurodollar University

Today we’re going be unpacking the latest from closely watched indicators out of China: bank lending data, household credit, the movement of the yuan, and what a single real estate developer—China Vanke—tells us about debt and payments right now. Bank lending in 2025 fell to the lowest since 2018 largely because household lending utterly collapsed. Yes, it collapsed last year. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Japanese yen keeps tumbling and as it does it is tanking the bond market over there. What we have is the first case of a currency value setting interest rates, with, of course, the Bank of Japan helplessly caught in the middle. That helplessness is reinforced by the fact Japan’s currency is being closely paralleled by South Korea’s and others across Asia. The tumbling won and yen have led to government calls for stringent action, including from Treasury Secretary Bessent today.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you’re a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powellhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htmBloomberg Tariff Pass-Through Limited So Far, US Data Showhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-01-13/tariff-pass-through-limited-so-far-us-data-show-evening-briefing-americas‘Sell America’ Trade Is Revived by Trump’s Latest Fed Attackhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-12/fed-subpoenas-revive-sell-america-trade-on-autonomy-concernsSouth Korea Is Pulling Out All Stops to Try to Prop Up Wonhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-18/south-korea-digs-deeper-into-intervention-toolkit-as-won-slidesBessent Calls Out Drop in South Korea’s Won After Remarks on Yenhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-14/bessent-flags-won-s-weakness-as-excessive-offering-rare-supporthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

JP Morgan missed on its earnings after failing to sell as many bonds as it was expecting for its customers. At the same time, Jamie Dimon, the bank’s CEO, he of cockroach fame, was forced to acknowledge how the labor market had softened before then going on to describe Goldilocks anyway. This is something that has come up in a couple of other sources already, not Goldilocks though that is the Fed’s official position, too. No, bond issuance is looking weak heading into 2026, another one of those key credit cycle signs.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you’re a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------JPM Q4 2025https://www.jpmorganchase.com/content/dam/jpmc/jpmorgan-chase-and-co/investor-relations/documents/quarterly-earnings/2025/4th-quarter/d868c7ef-1670-465d-ba75-c2b36ddbcc6b.pdfJPM Q4 2024 https://www.jpmorganchase.com/content/dam/jpmc/jpmorgan-chase-and-co/investor-relations/documents/quarterly-earnings/2024/4th-quarter/36b3c0a4-3ecd-422e-8167-0a31372f3438.pdfA Growing Number of Bonds Edge Closer to Junk Statushttps://www.tradealgo.com/news/a-growing-number-of-bonds-edge-closer-to-junk-statushttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Almost 40% of Canadian real estate funds have restricted access to investor funds, and that includes potential payouts. It’s a sign of how deep the housing bust in Canada has gotten to be, but also applies to the situation that’s spreading across global markets where it comes to the shadow bank matter. In fact, the UK’s house of lords urged the Bank of England to look into private credit risks “as a matter of urgency.”Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery, it's a method.If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we’ll fill in everything that you’ve been missing. Join us: https://web.eurodollar-university.com/eurodollar-vsl-page-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg Canadians Are Furious After Real Estate Funds Lock Up Their Moneyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-12/fed-subpoenas-revive-sell-america-trade-on-autonomy-concernsBloomberg Private Credit Risks Need Urgent Attention, UK Lawmakers Sayhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-09/lords-report-slams-uk-treasury-for-apathy-to-private-credit-riskhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Call it GSE QE. The same day it was reported US housing construction fell to the lowest since 2020, the Trump administration announced it was going to direct the housing GSEs, Fannie mae and Freddie Mac, to buy $200 billion in mortgage securities. The idea is that those purchases will reduce mortgage borrowing costs and offer some aid to struggling households who might then consider buying a house previously out of their reach.  Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EDU LIVE PRESIDENT'S DAY FEBRUARY 2026If you’re a serious investor and want to capitalize on what the monetary system is signaling right now, plus deep discussions about what truly is the greatest threat we all face, join me, Hugh Hendry, George Gammon, Steve Van Metre, Brent Johnson, Mike Green at Eurodollar University's very first Live Event, President's Day Weekend February 2026. To reserve your spot just go here but you better hurry, there aren't many spots left:https://eurodollar-university.com/event-home-page---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Monetary Policy and the Mortgage Markethttps://www.kansascityfed.org/Jackson%20Hole/documents/10336/schnabl_jh.pdfDid the Federal Reserve’s MBS Purchase Program Lower Mortgage Rates?https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2011/201101/201101pap.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU