Marketplace Morning Report

Last year, President Donald Trump issued an executive order aimed at ending gender-affirming care for transgender children and teenagers under 19. Since then, the Department of Health and Human Services proposed a new rule that would ban hospitals offering that care from receiving Medicaid and Medicare funding. The attacks on transition-related care are having a profound effect on transgender kids and their families, but they’re also having an impact on health care providers. Today, we'll hear more. But first: progress on a deal to avoid a partial government shutdown.

From the BBC World Service: U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is the latest political leader to visit China for trade talks. Chinese President Xi Jinping told Starmer that Beijing is ready to develop a long-term strategic partnership. Since President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on most imports, countries around the world have been scrambling to sign new trade deals. Plus, as South Africa has been grappling with 30% U.S. tariffs, farmers there are also looking to China.

We’ve been deluged with the annual economic and market forecasts that traditionally mark the turn of a new year. Is it worth paying attention to these forecasts, or are they a waste of time? Maybe a little bit of both? Today, we're joined by Marketplace senior economics contributor Chris Farrell to assess their worth. But first, we'll discuss some of the forecasts and market conditions the Federal Reserve has in mind at this week's meeting. And, Boeing’s revenue is up, as are its airplane delivery numbers.

There's a chance that the federal government will shut down late this week over reform and funding for the Department of Homeland Security, which also includes ICE. We'll break down the likelihood of a shutdown, demands of Senate Democrats, and potential impacts to ICE. Plus, the Fed likely won't cut interest rates today. And the 2026 World Cup is expected to draw millions of foreign visitors. Will U.S. authorities let them in?

From the BBC World Service: One of the world’s leading technology bosses has warned there could be “carnage" if a bubble in AI share prices bursts. The chief executive of Cisco, Chuck Robbins, has told the BBC that while some companies won’t survive, artificial intelligence will be “bigger than the internet.” Plus, we take you to Saudi Arabia, where the construction of a huge skyscraper — 20 times the size of the Empire State Building — has been suspended.